The Netflix thriller Rebel Ridge continues to lead the pack in the Emmy race for Best TV Movie, holding the No. 1 spot in Gold Derby’s predictions throughout the season. Despite stiff competition from titles like Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy, Out of My Mind, Mountainhead, and others, Rebel Ridge is still riding high on critical acclaim and awards momentum.
Why Rebel Ridge Is a Strong Contender
Starring Aaron Pierre as Terry Richmond, a former Marine entangled in a corrupt small-town police conflict, Rebel Ridge has earned praise for its “intelligent and gripping” storytelling, with a stellar 95% Rotten Tomatoes rating. It also received multiple awards, including Critics Choice Award for Best TV Movie and Image Award for Best Actor, plus nominations from the Producers Guild and Writers Guild. Directed by Jeremy Saulnier — acclaimed for True Detective Season 3 and gritty films like Green Room — the film stands out as a sophisticated and tense thriller beyond typical TV movie fare.
The Competition Heating Up
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Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy features Renée Zellweger returning to the beloved series. Though it performed modestly overseas and is streaming on Peacock in the U.S., it maintains strong fan support and Emmy buzz.
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Out of My Mind, a Disney+ film about a middle schooler with cerebral palsy, has gained recent momentum thanks to wins and nominations at the Critics Choice, Writers Guild, and Directors Guild Awards, plus a Peabody Award, boosting its Emmy prospects.
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Mountainhead marks Jesse Armstrong’s feature film debut following his Emmy-winning run with Succession. This HBO movie about tech billionaires is generating early buzz ahead of its May 31 Emmy eligibility cutoff.
Expert Predictions and Odds
Gold Derby’s panel of 21 industry experts is currently divided:
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10 experts predict Rebel Ridge will win
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9 experts favor Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy
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1 expert each backs Mountainhead and Out of My Mind
What to Watch
With Emmy voting underway, the Best TV Movie category could be one of the tightest and most intriguing races this year. Will Rebel Ridge capitalize on its awards momentum? Or will recent surges by Out of My Mind and steady support for Bridget Jones shake up the leaderboard?
